BF3207/3219 Course Project: LBO Target
In this project, you will be tasked with finding a suitable listed LBO target for a PE Fund.
- The criteria for the target is given on page 2
- This is an individual project., the final deliverable is a brief (written report in pdf format)
- The format for the brief is given below.
- The brief should contain sufficient details including facts, numbers, charts, etc. to support your conclusions and recommendations.
- The analysis in the memorandum needs to cover at least three cases: Base case, Upside case, and Downside case. Discussions on Open cases are optional.
- Length of the brief is restricted to 4-8 pages (excluding cover page, table of contents and appendix).
- Report Format:
A. Investment Thesis / Executive Summary
B. Company Overview – Profile, industry, products, and competitive positioning.
C. Financial Summary / Key Metrics, and Forward Projections / Assumptions
D. LBO Suitability – Explain why the company is suitable: stable existing or projected cash flows, growth opportunities, operational improvement potential.
E. Setup checkboxes – Growth, Turnaround, Multiple Abr etc
F. Value Creation Opportunities – Identify ways a PE sponsor could enhance performance: cost reduction, operational efficiencies, market expansion, acquisitions.
G. Debt & Returns Analysis – Justification of assumed debt, cost of debt, and IRR.
H. Risks / Limitations – Identify major risks and assumptions.
I. Scalability – Discuss how the company could expand across: markets, distribution, operations, regulatory considerations. What is the plan?
J. Exit Considerations – Potential exit strategies: IPO, trade sale, secondary buyout.
K. Sector overview – Overview of the sector, catalysts, developments, risks, growth etc L. Comparables: Snapshot of the 3y performance of key players
Deadline of submission:
11:59pm, 13th November (Thursday), 2025. (Soft-copy with a single pdf file submitted via NTULearn. Submission of the Excel model is not required.)
Plagiarism is strictly prohibited.
Objective:
Search for a suitable LBO target for a Private Equity Fund.
Fund Criteria:
Exchange: Global but no frontier markets
Deal size: USD50m – 10b
Target Criteria:
- You have free reign to choose a LBO target according to the setups – Growth, Distressed / Turnaround, Multiple Arb, Asset Play, Strategic M&A, Roll up (you’d need to find a few)
- Your pick(s) must check setup checkboxes
- Minimum defensible annualized IRR 25% for 3-5 years, higher defensibe IRRs will get higher marks
ASSUMPTIONS:
- Buyer: Assume acquisition by a tier-1 PE fund using standard PE methods to scale the business. For Strategic M&A, find a realistic strategic buyer that can support your plans.
- Forward Assumptions:
Base projections on analyst consensus estimates, company guidance, or public filings. If unavailable, generate rational projections based on historical performance and industry trends. Adjust forecasts to reflect PE-driven value creation, e.g., operational improvements, cost optimization, market expansion, or strategic initiatives. - Debt Assumptions: Research realistic and likely debt levels and interest rates a tier-1 PE fund would deploy. Justify assumptions on total leverage, cost of debt, and capacity to service interest relative to target cash flows.
- Exit Assumptions:
Listing – justify your exit multiples and choice of exchange Trade sale – justify your exit multiples
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