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BAFI1042 Equity Investment and Portfolio Management
Question:
Q1) Evaluate the company’s recent and overtime financial performance by analysing the companies share price performance, financial statements and other relevant news during the last five years.
Recent financial performance [past 2 years] choose a time frame (look for any major/sensitive public announcements)
Overtime financial performance [past 5 years] – choose a time frame (revenue by products/services, company strategy)
Q2) Peer group comparison/industry analysis [only choose major competitors for discussion]
Q3) Analyse the company’s/industries current issues and explain the impact of these issues on the company’s future earnings
general factors that apply for the industry (income, growth of the industry, govt. regulation etc.)
the company specific requirements (operation, level of debt, directions/goals, competition etc.)
Q4) Estimate the ROE of the company for last five years using the DuPont ROE approach.
DuPont Analysis can be done using either of the following steps
3 steps: Profit Margin, Total Asset Turnover and Financial Leverage
5 steps: In addition, Interest Expense Rate and Tax Retention Ratio
Refer to chapter or Topic Lecture slides for formulas
Compare the financial performances of the company with its peer groups.
Choose 2 peer (competitor) companies for comparison.
Part 2
Q1) Start your valuation analysis with the CAPM estimation You need 3 variables to calculate the CAPM:
Estimate Beta (β): You can estimate beta by using regression analysis Or by manual calculation
For both approach you need to use the monthly stock price data of the company and market index to estimate return for five years
Then follow the formula of adjusted beta estimation on topic 4
Risk-Free Rate of Return: Take the 10 year Govt. bond yield rate as a proxy for RFR
Risk Premium: It is the difference between expected market return [E(Rm)] and RFR
Calculate the E(Rm) to approximately predict the market return: provide justification
Once you estimate the CAPM required rate of return denoted as E(Re) following the steps above, you can use this return (also known as cost of equity, ke) in the valuation model.
Q2) Estimate the valuation model using discounted cash flows and relative valuation techniques to estimate the intrinsic value of the company discussed in topic 7
BAFI1042 Equity Investment and Portfolio Management
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