Assignment Task
Part 1
IT Software Project
As a senior analyst for the company you have been asked to evaluate a new IT software project. The company has just paid a consulting firm $100,000 for a test marketing analysis. After looking at the project plan, you anticipate that the project will need to acquire computer hardware for a cost of $450,000. The Australian Taxation Office rules allow an effective life for the computer hardware of five years. The equipment can be depreciated on a straight-line (prime cost) basis and there is no expected salvage value after the five years.
Your company does not have any available space where the project can be located for five years and you anticipate to rent the required office space it would cost $65,000 per year for the life of the project. You expect that the project will need to hire 3 new software specialists at $50,000 (each specialist) per year (start in year 1) for the full five years to work on the software.
The project will use a van currently owned by the company. Although the van is not currently being used by the company, it can be rented out for $15,000 per year for five years. The book value of the van is $20,000. The van is being depreciated straight-line (with five years remaining for depreciation) and is expected to be worthless after the five years.
Expected annual marketing and selling costs will be incurred during the life of the project (5 years), with the first year expecting to be $250,000. The produced software is expected to sell at $85 per unit while the cost to produce each unit is $40. You expect that 10,000 units will be sold in the first year and the number of units sold will increase by 25% a year for the remaining four years. The project will need working capital of $50 000 to commence the business (in year 0) and the investment in working capital is to be completely recovered by the end of the project’s life (in year 5). The company tax rate is 30%, and the discount rate is 10.5%.
Based on the information presented above, answer the following questions
In evaluating the new IT software project, is the cost of $100,000 spent on marketing analysis relevant? Explain your answer(s).
Calculate the incremental free cash flow during the project’s life (starting from year 0 to year 5). Show workings.
Calculate the NPV, payback period and IRR of the project. Should the project be accepted? Show workings and explain your answer(s).
Part 2
Risk and return
You are considering an investment in the stock market and have identified three potential stocks, they are Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical Group (HKG: 2196), China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (HKG: 386) and Commonwealth Bank (ASX: CBA). The historical prices between 2013 and 2020 in the table below, note that these prices are recorded on the 1st day of the year, for example, 1st of January 2020. Students assume no dividend is distributed during this period and ignore the exchange rate conversion.
Year Fosun
(HKG: 2196) China Petroleum & Chemical
(HKG: 386) Commonwealth (ASX: CBA)
2013 11.62 7.24 64.10
2014 23.85 6.18 73.83
2015 28.05 6.13 88.85
2016 18.54 4.33 78.67
2017 25.9 6.21 81.66
2018 45.45 6.76 78.87
2019 23.85 6.57 69.91
2020 20.9 4.13 85.26
Calculate the return and risk (standard deviation) of each stock.
Explain the relation (positive or negative) between risk and return based on your answers in part (1).
Calculate the correlation coefficient between (a) Fosun and China Petroleum and (b) China Petroleum and CBA.
Calculate the expected (annual) return and standard deviation if you owned a portfolio consisting of 50% in Fosun and 50% in China Petroleum.
Calculate the expected (annual) return and standard deviation if you owned a portfolio consisting of 40% in CBA and 60% in China Petroleum.
Which portfolio (parts 4 or 5) provides better diversification? Explain your answer(s).
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